Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Bramall Lane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.36) 1.41 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 27.4% 55.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
13.2%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Utd 0 13.2% 18.6% 13.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSheffield UtdDerby
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack47%27%
Defense53%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sheffield Utd Derby
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins20%29%25%29%20%25%
Draws0%0%0%43%40%42%
Loses80%71%75%29%40%33%

Form: Sheffield Utd: LLLLLLWLLWWL • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWW

League goals

Metric Sheffield Utd Derby
HATHAT
GF total3698513
GF avg0.60.90.81.11.01.1
GA total812209716
GA avg1.61.71.71.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSheffield UtdDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%83%75%
1.517%33%17%25%
2.58%25%8%17%
3.50%17%0%8%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSheffield UtdDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricSheffield UtdDerby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSheffield UtdDerby
Wins21
Draws03
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-45-03-53-1
Goals For1332
Goals Against4553

Model comparison

MetricSheffield UtdDerby
Form43%57%
Att64%36%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Sheffield Utd or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sheffield Utd = 0.62 (league 1.36), Derby = 1.41 (league 1.14)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Utd 0 13.2% 18.6% 13.1% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.5% 8.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 55.9%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1