Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.36) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.2% 34.5% 33.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
15.9%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 18.9% 15.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamPortsmouth
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack40%33%
Defense53%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Portsmouth
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins40%29%33%29%20%25%
Draws40%14%25%14%60%33%
Loses20%57%42%57%20%42%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWL • Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLL

League goals

Metric Birmingham Portsmouth
HATHAT
GF total74116410
GF avg1.40.60.90.90.80.8
GA total69159413
GA avg1.21.31.31.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamPortsmouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%75%75%67%
1.525%33%8%42%
2.50%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamPortsmouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score044213

Penalties

MetricBirminghamPortsmouth
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBirminghamPortsmouth
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-21-00-1
Biggest losses2-33-00-22-1
Goals For2221
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamPortsmouth
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h33%67%
Goals22%78%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portsmouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away4.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 0.82 (league 1.36), Portsmouth = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 18.9% 15.9% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.1% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.2% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 33.3%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1