Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 15:00 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36) 1.47 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.7% 26.4% 58.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.8%
0 - 2
13.8%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 12.7% 18.8% 13.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedMillwall
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack27%53%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Millwall
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins20%29%25%57%60%58%
Draws40%14%25%0%40%17%
Loses40%57%50%43%0%25%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLW • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Oxford United Millwall
HATHAT
GF total58137714
GF avg1.01.11.11.01.41.2
GA total69159413
GA avg1.21.31.31.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%83%75%58%
1.542%33%33%25%
2.58%8%8%17%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score235303

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedMillwall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedMillwall
Wins11
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-20-4—
Goals For2332
Goals Against2341

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedMillwall
Form37%63%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h62%38%
Goals62%38%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Millwall

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.59 (league 1.36), Millwall = 1.47 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 12.7% 18.8% 13.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.0% 8.1% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.7% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 58.5%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1