Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.36) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 31.7% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 17.3% 19.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack29%38%
Defense71%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Stoke City
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins17%29%23%67%43%54%
Draws50%14%31%17%29%23%
Loses33%57%46%17%29%23%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWD • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWW

League goals

Metric Oxford United Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total781511718
GF avg1.21.11.21.81.01.4
GA total8917459
GA avg1.31.31.30.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%85%69%62%
1.546%38%31%8%
2.58%8%23%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Wins13
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-35-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-20-12-0
Goals For2353
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedStoke City
Form41%59%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stoke City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.32 @ Pinnacle
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Betano
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.62 (league 1.36), Stoke City = 1.14 (league 1.14)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 17.3% 19.7% 11.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.6% 12.1% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1