Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.36) 1.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 26.2% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamMillwall
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack38%48%
Defense76%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Millwall
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%29%38%57%50%54%
Draws33%14%23%0%50%23%
Loses17%57%38%43%0%23%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLW • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWD

League goals

Metric Birmingham Millwall
HATHAT
GF total114157916
GF avg1.80.61.21.01.51.2
GA total69159615
GA avg1.01.31.21.31.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%77%62%
1.531%31%38%31%
2.58%15%8%15%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets314415
Failed to score044303

Penalties

MetricBirminghamMillwall
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBirminghamMillwall
Wins24
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-4—
Goals For4232
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamMillwall
Form35%65%
Att44%56%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.2%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Millwall

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away5.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Betano
Under 2.51.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 1.32 (league 1.36), Millwall = 1.32 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 7.2% 9.4% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.7% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1