Tue, Nov 4 2025 • 19:45 • Pride Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.36) 1.94 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 22.1% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.0% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDerbyHull City
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack29%43%
Defense86%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Derby Hull City
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins29%33%31%57%33%46%
Draws43%33%38%29%33%31%
Loses29%33%31%14%33%23%

Form: Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWW • Hull City: DWLLDWLDWWWDW

League goals

Metric Derby Hull City
HATHAT
GF total8816121022
GF avg1.11.31.21.71.71.7
GA total9817101020
GA avg1.31.31.31.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDerbyHull City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%77%85%77%
1.523%23%62%54%
2.515%15%23%15%
3.50%8%0%8%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDerbyHull City
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricDerbyHull City
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricDerbyHull City
Wins13
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-33-10-2
Biggest losses3-53-10-34-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricDerbyHull City
Form43%57%
Att40%60%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h93%7%
Goals78%22%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Derby or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Derby = 1.37 (league 1.36), Hull City = 1.94 (league 1.14)

Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Derby 0 3.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.7% 9.4% 6.1% 2.9% 1.1%
2 3.4% 6.7% 6.5% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.6% 3.0% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1