Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32) 1.40 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 27.4% 52.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 11.5% 16.2% 11.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallPreston
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack70%80%
Defense30%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Preston
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins57%43%50%63%33%50%
Draws0%43%21%25%33%29%
Loses43%14%29%13%33%21%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDL • Preston: DWWLDWDDWLLWWW

League goals

Metric Millwall Preston
HATHAT
GF total791612719
GF avg1.01.31.11.51.21.4
GA total910197613
GA avg1.31.41.40.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallPreston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%64%79%64%
1.536%36%50%29%
2.57%21%7%0%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallPreston
HATHAT
Clean sheets415325
Failed to score314213

Penalties

MetricMillwallPreston
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMillwallPreston
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-12-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against4422

Model comparison

MetricMillwallPreston
Form53%47%
Att47%53%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total54.5%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 0.76 (league 1.32), Preston = 1.40 (league 1.11)

Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 11.5% 16.2% 11.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
1 8.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 52.1%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1