Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 12:30 • Ewood Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.38) 2.09 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 20.1% 61.8%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.5%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 4.8% 10.1% 10.5% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.5% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBlackburnDerby
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack60%70%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Blackburn Derby
HATHAT
Played67138614
Wins17%57%38%38%33%36%
Draws17%0%8%38%33%36%
Loses67%43%54%25%33%29%

Form: Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWW • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Blackburn Derby
HATHAT
GF total671310818
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.31.3
GA total1161710818
GA avg1.80.91.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBlackburnDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%86%79%
1.523%46%29%21%
2.58%15%14%14%
3.50%0%0%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBlackburnDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets044213
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricBlackburnDerby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBlackburnDerby
Wins11
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-03-53-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricBlackburnDerby
Form43%57%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h80%20%
Goals63%37%
Total49.8%50.2%

Advice: Double chance : Blackburn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.95 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Blackburn = 0.94 (league 1.38), Derby = 2.09 (league 1.12)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Blackburn 0 4.8% 10.1% 10.5% 7.3% 3.8% 1.6%
1 4.5% 9.5% 9.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.1% 4.5% 4.7% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 61.8%

vtt 24 , vtd1