Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:00 • Riverside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.36) 0.26 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.1% 32.4% 8.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.0%
0 - 0
24.5%
2 - 0
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 24.5% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbroughBirmingham
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack50%100%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough Birmingham
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%38%50%57%29%43%
Draws33%38%36%29%14%21%
Loses0%25%14%14%57%36%

Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLD • Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWW

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough Birmingham
HATHAT
GF total7101715419
GF avg1.21.31.22.10.61.4
GA total39126915
GA avg0.51.10.90.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbroughBirmingham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%64%71%64%
1.536%14%36%29%
2.57%7%14%14%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbroughBirmingham
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score123044

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbroughBirmingham
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbroughBirmingham
Wins42
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-34-01-2
Biggest losses—3-02-33-0
Goals For2342
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbroughBirmingham
Form47%53%
Att31%69%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h100%0%
Goals89%11%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Middlesbrough or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 1.15 (league 1.36), Birmingham = 0.26 (league 1.15)

Birmingham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 24.5% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.0% 7.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.1% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 8.4%

Vtot 22 , Vtod2