Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • The Valley
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.37) 0.73 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 23.5% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharltonSouthampton
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack33%39%
Defense83%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Southampton
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins57%25%40%29%25%27%
Draws29%38%33%43%38%40%
Loses14%38%27%29%38%33%

Form: Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWL • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWW

League goals

Metric Charlton Southampton
HATHAT
GF total971671118
GF avg1.30.91.11.01.41.2
GA total481271421
GA avg0.61.00.81.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharltonSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%80%87%
1.520%13%33%40%
2.513%7%7%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharltonSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets336202
Failed to score134303

Penalties

MetricCharltonSouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCharltonSouthampton
Wins21
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-23-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricCharltonSouthampton
Form57%43%
Att46%54%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Double chance : Charlton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.93 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.26 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.77 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charlton = 1.71 (league 1.37), Southampton = 0.73 (league 1.14)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 8.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.8% 10.9% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.2% 5.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 15 , vtd1