Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.36) 1.82 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 22.4% 60.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 7.2% 13.1% 12.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack28%28%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins14%25%20%71%38%53%
Draws43%13%27%29%38%33%
Loses43%63%53%0%25%13%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Oxford United Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total791691019
GF avg1.01.11.11.31.31.3
GA total1111224913
GA avg1.61.41.50.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%87%80%67%
1.540%47%40%13%
2.57%13%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score336123

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
Wins14
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-33-2—3-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedMiddlesbrough
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals31%69%
Total37.8%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.65 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.81 (league 1.36), Middlesbrough = 1.82 (league 1.14)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 7.2% 13.1% 12.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.2%
1 5.8% 10.6% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 2.3% 4.3% 3.9% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 60.4%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1