Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.36) 0.88 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 20.8% 15.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.2%
1 - 0
11.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 5.6% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamNorwich
Played55
Form60%7%
Attack56%17%
Defense83%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Norwich
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins57%25%40%0%25%13%
Draws29%13%20%0%38%20%
Loses14%63%40%100%38%67%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWL • Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Birmingham Norwich
HATHAT
GF total155205914
GF avg2.10.61.30.71.10.9
GA total61117131023
GA avg0.91.41.11.91.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamNorwich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%67%73%93%
1.533%33%20%47%
2.513%13%0%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamNorwich
HATHAT
Clean sheets415011
Failed to score044314

Penalties

MetricBirminghamNorwich
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirminghamNorwich
Wins21
Draws21
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-2—0-2
Biggest losses2-33-00-23-1
Goals For4222
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamNorwich
Form90%10%
Att77%23%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Winner : Birmingham

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 2.00 (league 1.36), Norwich = 0.88 (league 1.12)

Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 5.6% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.2% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 15.7%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1