Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.36) 1.03 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.6% 31.3% 37.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 14.2% 14.6% 7.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CitySwansea
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack33%28%
Defense56%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Swansea
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%43%40%25%29%27%
Draws25%43%33%38%29%33%
Loses38%14%27%38%43%40%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLD • Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Bristol City Swansea
HATHAT
GF total1111229615
GF avg1.41.61.51.10.91.0
GA total1081813619
GA avg1.31.11.21.60.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CitySwansea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%67%73%80%
1.527%27%27%27%
2.527%13%0%13%
3.513%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CitySwansea
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score213134

Penalties

MetricBristol CitySwansea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBristol CitySwansea
Wins31
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-42-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-11-42-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against3542

Model comparison

MetricBristol CitySwansea
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 0.92 (league 1.36), Swansea = 1.03 (league 1.14)

Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 14.2% 14.6% 7.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.1% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 37.0%

Vtot 13 , Vtod1