Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 15:00 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.36) 1.25 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 29.2% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 12.5% 15.7% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthMillwall
Played55
Form7%53%
Attack17%33%
Defense44%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Millwall
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins25%14%20%50%43%47%
Draws25%43%33%13%43%27%
Loses50%43%47%38%14%27%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDL • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLD

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Millwall
HATHAT
GF total66128917
GF avg0.80.90.81.01.31.1
GA total91120101020
GA avg1.11.61.31.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%73%67%
1.513%47%33%33%
2.50%13%7%20%
3.50%7%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthMillwall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthMillwall
Wins14
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-00-44-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthMillwall
Form11%89%
Att33%67%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total29.6%70.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Millwall

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.82 (league 1.36), Millwall = 1.25 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 12.5% 15.7% 9.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.3% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 46.3%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1