Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 19:45 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.37) 1.50 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.3% 25.5% 44.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 6.9% 10.4% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallSheffield Wednesday
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack31%19%
Defense38%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins50%38%44%0%14%6%
Draws13%38%25%22%43%31%
Loses38%25%31%78%43%63%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDL • Sheffield Wednesday: LLDLLWDDLLLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Millwall Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
GF total810183912
GF avg1.01.31.10.31.30.8
GA total101323211132
GA avg1.31.61.42.31.62.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallSheffield Wednesday
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%69%56%88%
1.531%38%19%69%
2.56%25%0%31%
3.50%13%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallSheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Clean sheets415022
Failed to score314617

Penalties

MetricMillwallSheffield Wednesday
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallSheffield Wednesday
Wins41
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2—0-2
Biggest losses0-44-00-53-1
Goals For3212
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricMillwallSheffield Wednesday
Form71%29%
Att63%38%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals72%28%
Total62.0%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Millwall or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.17 (league 1.37), Sheffield Wednesday = 1.50 (league 1.12)

Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 6.9% 10.4% 7.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.1% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.3% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.3% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 25 , Vtod1