Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.37) 0.55 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.1% 31.4% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Charlton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 17.9% 9.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityCharlton
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack59%24%
Defense76%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Charlton
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins57%44%50%50%25%38%
Draws14%22%19%25%38%31%
Loses29%33%31%25%38%31%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLL • Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWLL

League goals

Metric Stoke City Charlton
HATHAT
GF total11112210717
GF avg1.61.21.41.30.91.1
GA total57129817
GA avg0.70.80.81.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityCharlton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%63%75%63%
1.531%13%19%19%
2.525%0%13%13%
3.56%0%0%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityCharlton
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricStoke CityCharlton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricStoke CityCharlton
Wins32
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-53-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against1253

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityCharlton
Form64%36%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Stoke City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away5.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 1.17 (league 1.37), Charlton = 0.55 (league 1.15)

Charlton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 17.9% 9.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.7% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.1% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 23 , vtd1