Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.36) 0.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 27.9% 27.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordPreston
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack53%53%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Preston
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins63%13%38%56%29%44%
Draws25%38%31%22%43%31%
Loses13%50%31%22%29%25%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDW • Preston: DWWLDWDDWLLWWWDL

League goals

Metric Watford Preston
HATHAT
GF total1482213821
GF avg1.81.01.41.41.11.3
GA total812209716
GA avg1.01.51.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordPreston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%94%81%69%
1.550%25%44%31%
2.513%6%6%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordPreston
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score134213

Penalties

MetricWatfordPreston
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWatfordPreston
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-11-22-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricWatfordPreston
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.32 (league 1.36), Preston = 0.96 (league 1.15)

Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.0% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.9% 8.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1