Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Riverside Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.36) 1.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.7% 27.1% 43.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 8.9% 12.2% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.9% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMiddlesbroughCoventry
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack29%71%
Defense59%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Middlesbrough Coventry
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins71%33%50%75%63%69%
Draws29%44%38%25%25%25%
Loses0%22%13%0%13%6%

Form: Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWD • Coventry: DWWDDDWWWWWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Middlesbrough Coventry
HATHAT
GF total91120222143
GF avg1.31.21.32.82.62.7
GA total410146915
GA avg0.61.10.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMiddlesbroughCoventry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%69%88%56%
1.538%13%75%25%
2.56%6%50%13%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%19%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMiddlesbroughCoventry
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricMiddlesbroughCoventry
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMiddlesbroughCoventry
Wins46
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-37-10-5
Biggest losses—3-0—3-2
Goals For2375
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricMiddlesbroughCoventry
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals8%92%
Total33.6%66.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Coventry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Middlesbrough = 1.05 (league 1.36), Coventry = 1.37 (league 1.14)

Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Middlesbrough 0 8.9% 12.2% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.9% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1