Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 20:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.37) 1.24 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.1% 28.8% 42.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 11.2% 13.9% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack65%29%
Defense59%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Leicester
HATHAT
Played79168816
Wins29%33%31%38%38%38%
Draws43%33%38%50%25%38%
Loses29%33%31%13%38%25%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWW • Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Southampton Leicester
HATHAT
GF total7162391120
GF avg1.01.81.41.11.41.3
GA total7152271017
GA avg1.01.71.40.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonLeicester
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%88%81%81%
1.538%38%38%25%
2.513%13%6%0%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score303213

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Wins12
Draws24
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-52-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-22-1
Goals For3523
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonLeicester
Form56%44%
Att69%31%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h20%80%
Goals22%78%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Leicester

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away4.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 0.95 (league 1.37), Leicester = 1.24 (league 1.13)

Leicester
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 11.2% 13.9% 8.7% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 5.0% 6.2% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.1% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 42.9%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1