Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 20:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 1.37) 0.81 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.1% 14.7% 9.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
3 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamWatford
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack64%41%
Defense82%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Watford
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins63%22%41%56%13%35%
Draws25%22%24%33%38%35%
Loses13%56%35%11%50%29%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWD • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWD

League goals

Metric Birmingham Watford
HATHAT
GF total1962515823
GF avg2.40.71.51.71.01.4
GA total7121991221
GA avg0.91.31.11.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%76%94%
1.535%29%47%24%
2.518%12%12%6%
3.518%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets415101
Failed to score044134

Penalties

MetricBirminghamWatford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricBirminghamWatford
Wins21
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-02-3
Biggest losses2-33-00-13-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamWatford
Form53%47%
Att61%39%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h7%93%
Goals9%91%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : Birmingham or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away4.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.00 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 2.63 (league 1.37), Watford = 0.81 (league 1.11)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.0% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.7% 7.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.1% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 20 , Vtod1