Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 12:30 • Fratton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.36) 1.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 27.6% 45.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 10.0% 13.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortsmouthBristol City
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack56%56%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portsmouth Bristol City
HATHAT
Played98179817
Wins33%13%24%44%38%41%
Draws22%38%29%22%38%29%
Loses44%50%47%33%25%29%

Form: Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWL • Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWL

League goals

Metric Portsmouth Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total9615141125
GF avg1.00.80.91.61.41.5
GA total101424101020
GA avg1.11.81.41.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortsmouthBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%71%76%65%
1.518%47%29%29%
2.56%18%29%12%
3.50%6%12%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortsmouthBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricPortsmouthBristol City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPortsmouthBristol City
Wins13
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-01-4
Biggest losses0-24-01-35-1
Goals For3244
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricPortsmouthBristol City
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h38%62%
Goals46%54%
Total45.3%54.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Portsmouth = 0.95 (league 1.36), Bristol City = 1.35 (league 1.14)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portsmouth 0 10.0% 13.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.5% 12.9% 8.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 45.6%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1