Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.36) 1.73 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.5% 23.7% 47.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 5.1% 8.8% 7.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallSouthampton
Played55
Form33%80%
Attack56%100%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Southampton
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins56%38%47%38%33%35%
Draws11%38%24%38%33%35%
Loses33%25%29%25%33%29%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLW • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWW

League goals

Metric Millwall Southampton
HATHAT
GF total91019101626
GF avg1.01.31.11.31.81.5
GA total10132371522
GA avg1.11.61.40.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%65%82%82%
1.529%35%41%35%
2.56%24%18%12%
3.50%12%6%0%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets516303
Failed to score314303

Penalties

MetricMillwallSouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMillwallSouthampton
Wins41
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-5
Biggest losses0-44-00-23-1
Goals For3235
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricMillwallSouthampton
Form29%71%
Att28%72%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total31.2%68.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.25 (league 1.36), Southampton = 1.73 (league 1.15)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 5.1% 8.8% 7.6% 4.4% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.0% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 4.0% 6.9% 5.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.5% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 47.8%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1