Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 12:30 • Vicarage Road
First Half
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.35) 0.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 21.0% 17.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.4%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 5.1% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordNorwich
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack35%35%
Defense65%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Norwich
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%11%33%11%22%17%
Draws33%33%33%11%33%22%
Loses11%56%33%78%44%61%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDL • Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDLLDW

League goals

Metric Watford Norwich
HATHAT
GF total1592491019
GF avg1.71.01.31.01.11.1
GA total91423151429
GA avg1.01.61.31.71.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordNorwich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%94%78%94%
1.544%28%22%44%
2.511%6%6%17%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordNorwich
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricWatfordNorwich
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWatfordNorwich
Wins11
Draws21
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-24-1
Goals For3332
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricWatfordNorwich
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h20%80%
Goals35%65%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Norwich

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 2.01 (league 1.35), Norwich = 0.96 (league 1.15)

Norwich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 5.1% 4.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 10.3% 9.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.9% 6.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.5% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod4