Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 15:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.37) 1.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 22.6% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 4.4% 5.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityMillwall
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack28%33%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Millwall
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins44%44%44%60%38%50%
Draws22%33%28%10%38%22%
Loses33%22%28%30%25%28%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLW • Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWW

League goals

Metric Bristol City Millwall
HATHAT
GF total141226121022
GF avg1.61.31.41.21.31.2
GA total101020121325
GA avg1.11.11.11.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityMillwall
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%78%67%
1.528%28%33%39%
2.528%11%11%22%
3.511%6%0%11%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityMillwall
HATHAT
Clean sheets347516
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricBristol CityMillwall
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBristol CityMillwall
Wins34
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-01-2
Biggest losses1-35-10-44-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityMillwall
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Betfair
Draw3.49 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.86 (league 1.37), Millwall = 1.26 (league 1.14)

Millwall
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 4.4% 5.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.3% 6.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod2