Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • Vicarage Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.37) 1.08 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.5% 21.6% 20.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.1% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWatfordSheffield Wednesday
Played55
Form53%7%
Attack64%29%
Defense43%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Watford Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Played1091910818
Wins60%11%37%0%13%6%
Draws30%33%32%20%38%28%
Loses10%56%32%80%50%67%

Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLW • Sheffield Wednesday: LLDLLWDDLLLLDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Watford Sheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
GF total189275914
GF avg1.81.01.40.51.10.8
GA total111425241236
GA avg1.11.61.32.41.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWatfordSheffield Wednesday
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%95%56%89%
1.547%32%22%67%
2.516%5%0%33%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWatfordSheffield Wednesday
HATHAT
Clean sheets101022
Failed to score134628

Penalties

MetricWatfordSheffield Wednesday
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricWatfordSheffield Wednesday
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-53-1
Goals For3322
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricWatfordSheffield Wednesday
Form89%11%
Att69%31%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.55 @ Betano
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Watford = 1.97 (league 1.37), Sheffield Wednesday = 1.08 (league 1.12)

Sheffield Wednesday
0 1 2 3 4 5
Watford 0 4.8% 5.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.4% 10.1% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.0% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.5% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 20.2%

Vtot 15 , Vtod1