Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.37) 0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 23.4% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 8.0% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonWest Brom
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack100%64%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton West Brom
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins44%30%37%44%30%37%
Draws33%30%32%44%0%21%
Loses22%40%32%11%70%42%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLW • West Brom: WWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWL

League goals

Metric Southampton West Brom
HATHAT
GF total131831111021
GF avg1.41.81.61.21.01.1
GA total8182681725
GA avg0.91.81.40.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonWest Brom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%74%79%
1.547%37%26%37%
2.521%16%11%16%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonWest Brom
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score303235

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonWest Brom
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonWest Brom
Wins42
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-22-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonWest Brom
Form63%37%
Att64%36%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total65.0%35.2%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.95 @ Betano
Away4.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.73 (league 1.37), West Brom = 0.80 (league 1.13)

West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 8.0% 6.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.0% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.9% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 14 , Vtod1