Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • The Valley
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.37) 1.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 26.4% 45.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 8.3% 12.0% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.5% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCharltonMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack21%79%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Charlton Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played8101891019
Wins50%20%33%67%40%53%
Draws25%30%28%22%40%32%
Loses25%50%39%11%20%16%

Form: Charlton: WDLLDWWDLWWDDWLLLL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Charlton Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total10818131528
GF avg1.30.81.01.41.51.5
GA total9142391120
GA avg1.11.41.31.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCharltonMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%67%84%74%
1.517%28%47%16%
2.511%22%11%11%
3.50%6%5%5%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCharltonMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score145123

Penalties

MetricCharltonMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCharltonMiddlesbrough
Wins24
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-11-4
Biggest losses1-53-02-43-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against5343

Model comparison

MetricCharltonMiddlesbrough
Form23%77%
Att21%79%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h20%80%
Goals27%73%
Total28.8%71.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Betano
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Charlton = 1.05 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 1.44 (league 1.14)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Charlton 0 8.3% 12.0% 8.6% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.7% 12.5% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.5% 6.6% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 45.8%

vtt 8 , vtd1