Tue, Dec 9 2025 • 19:45 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.37) 1.07 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.5% 25.2% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 7.2% 7.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaPortsmouth
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack43%36%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Portsmouth
HATHAT
Played1091910818
Wins30%22%26%30%13%22%
Draws30%22%26%20%38%28%
Loses40%56%47%50%50%50%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLW • Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Swansea Portsmouth
HATHAT
GF total128209615
GF avg1.20.91.10.90.80.8
GA total151227111425
GA avg1.51.31.41.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaPortsmouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%79%61%72%
1.532%37%17%44%
2.50%21%6%17%
3.50%5%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaPortsmouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets224325
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricSwanseaPortsmouth
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwanseaPortsmouth
Wins11
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-10-1
Biggest losses1-43-00-24-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaPortsmouth
Form43%57%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total40.8%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portsmouth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Pinnacle
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 1.57 (league 1.37), Portsmouth = 1.07 (league 1.13)

Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 7.2% 7.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.0% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.4% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 25.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1