Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 20:00 • Hillsborough
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.38) 3.00 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.4% 9.3% 78.9%
best score tips
0 - 3
14.0%
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 4
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Wednesday 0 3.1% 9.3% 14.0% 14.0% 10.5% 6.3%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.6% 6.6% 4.9% 3.0%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSheffield WednesdayDerby
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack24%41%
Defense35%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sheffield Wednesday Derby
HATHAT
Played1091911920
Wins0%11%5%27%44%35%
Draws20%44%32%36%22%30%
Loses80%44%63%36%33%35%

Form: Sheffield Wednesday: LLDLLWDDLLLLDDLLLLD • Derby: LLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Sheffield Wednesday Derby
HATHAT
GF total51015141327
GF avg0.51.10.81.31.41.4
GA total241337171229
GA avg2.41.41.91.51.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSheffield WednesdayDerby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%89%90%85%
1.521%63%35%30%
2.50%32%10%20%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%5%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSheffield WednesdayDerby
HATHAT
Clean sheets022213
Failed to score628112

Penalties

MetricSheffield WednesdayDerby
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSheffield WednesdayDerby
Wins15
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-22-11-3
Biggest losses0-53-13-53-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against5353

Model comparison

MetricSheffield WednesdayDerby
Form20%80%
Att36%64%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h85%15%
Goals63%38%
Total44.3%55.8%

Advice: Winner : Derby

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sheffield Wednesday = 0.47 (league 1.38), Derby = 3.00 (league 1.12)

Derby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sheffield Wednesday 0 3.1% 9.3% 14.0% 14.0% 10.5% 6.3%
1 1.5% 4.4% 6.6% 6.6% 4.9% 3.0%
2 0.3% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 9.3% · Away win 78.9%

vtt 14 , vtd1