Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 12:30 • St. Mary's Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.37) 2.13 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 20.8% 47.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 2.3% 5.0% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.8% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonCoventry
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack67%50%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Coventry
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins50%27%38%80%55%67%
Draws30%27%29%20%27%24%
Loses20%45%33%0%18%10%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWL • Coventry: DWWDDDWWWWWWLWWWWWLDW

League goals

Metric Southampton Coventry
HATHAT
GF total161935262652
GF avg1.61.71.72.62.42.5
GA total10203071522
GA avg1.01.81.40.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonCoventry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%62%
1.548%43%67%29%
2.524%14%48%14%
3.55%0%24%0%
4.55%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonCoventry
HATHAT
Clean sheets303448
Failed to score303123

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonCoventry
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonCoventry
Wins46
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-57-10-5
Biggest losses0-23-1—3-0
Goals For3575
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonCoventry
Form47%53%
Att57%43%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Southampton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 188Bet
Draw3.94 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.70 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.63 (league 1.37), Coventry = 2.13 (league 1.13)

Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 2.3% 5.0% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.8% 8.1% 8.6% 6.1% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.0% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 47.3%

Vtot 19 , Vtod4