Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.37) 1.60 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 24.7% 45.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 6.1% 9.7% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack17%72%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played111021101121
Wins36%40%38%70%45%57%
Draws27%30%29%20%36%29%
Loses36%30%33%10%18%14%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWW

League goals

Metric Bristol City Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total161228161733
GF avg1.51.21.31.61.51.6
GA total131124101222
GA avg1.21.11.11.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%67%86%76%
1.529%29%52%14%
2.524%10%14%10%
3.510%5%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score336123

Penalties

MetricBristol CityMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricBristol CityMiddlesbrough
Wins34
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-11-4
Biggest losses1-35-12-43-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityMiddlesbrough
Form25%75%
Att19%81%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h93%7%
Goals65%35%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Superbet
Draw3.60 @ 10Bet
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ 188Bet
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.20 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 1.60 (league 1.13)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 6.1% 9.7% 7.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.3% 11.7% 9.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.4% 7.0% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 45.9%

vtt 17 , vtd1