Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 • The Den
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.37) 2.00 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.2% 21.5% 55.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 4.3% 8.7% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.0% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.6% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMillwallIpswich
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack46%69%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Millwall Ipswich
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins55%36%45%58%30%45%
Draws9%36%23%33%30%32%
Loses36%27%32%8%40%23%

Form: Millwall: WLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLL • Ipswich: DDLDWWDWLLWWDWDWLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Millwall Ipswich
HATHAT
GF total131225221638
GF avg1.21.11.11.81.61.7
GA total151631101323
GA avg1.41.51.40.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMillwallIpswich
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%68%86%73%
1.527%41%41%23%
2.59%23%27%9%
3.50%9%14%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMillwallIpswich
HATHAT
Clean sheets527516
Failed to score325213

Penalties

MetricMillwallIpswich
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMillwallIpswich
Wins42
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-33-1
Goals For3254
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricMillwallIpswich
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ipswich

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.03 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.75 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Millwall = 1.14 (league 1.37), Ipswich = 2.00 (league 1.12)

Ipswich
0 1 2 3 4 5
Millwall 0 4.3% 8.7% 8.7% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1%
1 5.0% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
2 2.8% 5.6% 5.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.2% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 55.6%

vtt 43 , vtd1