Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • King Power Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.38) 1.09 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 24.7% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeicesterWatford
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack85%62%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leicester Watford
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins40%33%36%58%10%36%
Draws40%25%32%33%40%36%
Loses20%42%32%8%50%27%

Form: Leicester: WLWWDDDDWDLLLDWWLLWDWL • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDW

League goals

Metric Leicester Watford
HATHAT
GF total141731201131
GF avg1.41.41.41.71.11.4
GA total112031121628
GA avg1.11.71.41.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeicesterWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%86%82%91%
1.545%36%45%32%
2.514%14%14%5%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeicesterWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricLeicesterWatford
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLeicesterWatford
Wins21
Draws42
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-02-3
Biggest losses0-24-10-13-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricLeicesterWatford
Form47%53%
Att58%42%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total56.4%43.6%

Advice: Double chance : Leicester or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leicester = 1.62 (league 1.38), Watford = 1.09 (league 1.11)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leicester 0 6.7% 7.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.8% 11.7% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.8% 5.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.9% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 49 , vtd1