Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.37) 2.26 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.7% 20.0% 53.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
8.0%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.0% 9.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedSouthampton
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack31%77%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Southampton
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins20%17%18%45%27%36%
Draws40%25%32%36%27%32%
Loses40%58%50%18%45%32%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLL • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLD

League goals

Metric Oxford United Southampton
HATHAT
GF total111122171936
GF avg1.10.91.01.51.71.6
GA total151631112031
GA avg1.51.31.41.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%91%86%86%
1.532%41%45%41%
2.55%9%23%14%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets112303
Failed to score358303

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedSouthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedSouthampton
Wins14
Draws22
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-01-5
Biggest losses0-32-00-23-1
Goals For2335
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedSouthampton
Form36%64%
Att29%71%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ 10Bet
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.93 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 1.44 (league 1.37), Southampton = 2.26 (league 1.13)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 2.5% 5.6% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.6% 8.0% 9.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.7%
2 2.6% 5.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 53.2%

vtt 36 , vtd1