Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.37) 0.98 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 27.4% 26.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 9.6% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CityPreston
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack23%62%
Defense31%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Preston
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins60%33%45%42%40%41%
Draws10%17%14%42%40%41%
Loses30%50%41%17%20%18%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWL • Preston: DWWLDWDDWLLWWWDLDWDDWD

League goals

Metric Stoke City Preston
HATHAT
GF total171128161430
GF avg1.70.91.31.31.41.4
GA total81321121123
GA avg0.81.11.01.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CityPreston
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%86%77%
1.532%18%41%27%
2.523%5%9%0%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CityPreston
HATHAT
Clean sheets347325
Failed to score268213

Penalties

MetricStoke CityPreston
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStoke CityPreston
Wins33
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-22-1
Goals For5333
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricStoke CityPreston
Form25%75%
Att27%73%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total37.7%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Preston

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 1.37 (league 1.37), Preston = 0.98 (league 1.14)

Preston
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 9.6% 9.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 26.8%

vtt 51 , vtd1