Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.38) 0.82 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.1% 18.8% 12.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke CitySheffield Utd
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack12%65%
Defense59%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins55%33%43%36%33%35%
Draws18%17%17%18%0%9%
Loses27%50%39%45%67%57%

Form: Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLD • Sheffield Utd: LLLLLLWLLWWLLLDWWWWDLWL

League goals

Metric Stoke City Sheffield Utd
HATHAT
GF total171128151631
GF avg1.50.91.21.41.31.3
GA total81321122436
GA avg0.71.10.91.12.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke CitySheffield Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%65%65%70%
1.530%17%35%39%
2.522%4%30%26%
3.54%4%4%13%
4.54%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke CitySheffield Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets448527
Failed to score369358

Penalties

MetricStoke CitySheffield Utd
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricStoke CitySheffield Utd
Wins34
Draws31
Losses36

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-45-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against2445

Model comparison

MetricStoke CitySheffield Utd
Form36%64%
Att15%85%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sheffield Utd

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Unibet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City = 2.18 (league 1.38), Sheffield Utd = 0.82 (league 1.11)

Sheffield Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City 0 5.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.9% 8.9% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.1% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 12.7%

vtt 36 , vtd1