Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Kassam Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.38) 1.08 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 28.3% 32.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 10.1% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedSwansea
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack24%35%
Defense59%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Swansea
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%17%22%42%18%30%
Draws36%25%30%25%18%22%
Loses36%58%48%33%64%48%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLW • Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Oxford United Swansea
HATHAT
GF total13112415924
GF avg1.20.91.01.30.81.0
GA total161632161531
GA avg1.51.31.41.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedSwansea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%91%74%78%
1.535%39%30%35%
2.54%9%0%17%
3.50%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedSwansea
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score358156

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedSwansea
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedSwansea
Wins12
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-01-43-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedSwansea
Form31%69%
Att40%60%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total40.3%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Swansea

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 1.22 (league 1.38), Swansea = 1.08 (league 1.11)

Swansea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 10.1% 10.9% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.3% 13.2% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 32.3%

vtt 29 , vtd1