Championship
— England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 •
King Power Stadium
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.38)
1.57 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 24.9% | 45.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Derby | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leicester | 0 | 6.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leicester | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 47% |
| Defense | 33% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leicester | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 36% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 45% | 35% |
| Draws | 36% | 25% | 30% | 42% | 27% | 35% |
| Loses | 27% | 42% | 35% | 33% | 27% | 30% |
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DerbyLLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Leicester | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 17 | 32 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 13 | 20 | 33 | 18 | 13 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leicester | Derby | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 87% | 91% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 39% | 35% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leicester | Derby | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leicester | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leicester | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 3-5 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leicester | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 59.7% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.70 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.28 @ SBO
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
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