Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 20:15 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.82 (league 1.34) 1.39 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.6% 16.2% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.7%
2 - 0
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.6% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamSouthampton
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack27%60%
Defense33%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Southampton
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins55%17%35%45%25%35%
Draws36%17%26%36%25%30%
Loses9%67%39%18%50%35%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLD • Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Birmingham Southampton
HATHAT
GF total23831172037
GF avg2.10.71.31.51.71.6
GA total102030112233
GA avg0.91.71.31.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamSouthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%87%87%
1.530%35%43%43%
2.513%17%22%13%
3.513%0%4%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamSouthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets415303
Failed to score055303

Penalties

MetricBirminghamSouthampton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirminghamSouthampton
Wins24
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-01-5
Biggest losses2-33-00-23-1
Goals For4235
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamSouthampton
Form22%78%
Att31%69%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southampton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.68 @ Pinnacle
Away2.94 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ 188Bet
No2.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 2.82 (league 1.34), Southampton = 1.39 (league 1.10)

Southampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 1.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 5.6% 7.7% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.9% 5.4% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
5 2.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 16.2% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 34 , Vtod1