Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Carrow Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.37) 1.57 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.1% 24.9% 45.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Norwich 0 6.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorwichWatford
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack47%60%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Norwich Watford
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins27%17%22%58%18%39%
Draws9%42%26%33%36%35%
Loses64%42%52%8%45%26%

Form: Norwich: LWLWDLDLLLLLLDLLDWLDWDW • Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWW

League goals

Metric Norwich Watford
HATHAT
GF total121426201333
GF avg1.11.21.11.71.21.4
GA total161935121729
GA avg1.51.61.51.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorwichWatford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%91%83%91%
1.526%39%48%30%
2.54%17%13%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorwichWatford
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricNorwichWatford
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNorwichWatford
Wins11
Draws12
Losses62

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-02-3
Biggest losses0-24-10-13-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricNorwichWatford
Form42%58%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h80%20%
Goals65%35%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Norwich or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.72 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.12 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.35 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Norwich = 1.21 (league 1.37), Watford = 1.57 (league 1.14)

Watford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Norwich 0 6.2% 9.8% 7.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.3% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 45.3%

vtt 31 , vtd1