Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Ashton Gate Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.38) 0.69 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 23.0% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol CityPortsmouth
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack58%50%
Defense50%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol City Portsmouth
HATHAT
Played121224131023
Wins42%42%42%38%10%26%
Draws25%25%25%23%40%30%
Loses33%33%33%38%50%43%

Form: Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWWL • Portsmouth: WLDWDLLDWDLLLDLWLLLWDDW

League goals

Metric Bristol City Portsmouth
HATHAT
GF total18153314721
GF avg1.51.31.41.10.70.9
GA total131427141630
GA avg1.11.21.11.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol CityPortsmouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%67%65%78%
1.533%29%22%35%
2.521%8%4%13%
3.58%4%0%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol CityPortsmouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets448325
Failed to score336448

Penalties

MetricBristol CityPortsmouth
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBristol CityPortsmouth
Wins31
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-10-1
Biggest losses1-35-10-24-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricBristol CityPortsmouth
Form47%53%
Att54%46%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Betano
Away5.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.97 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bristol City = 1.74 (league 1.38), Portsmouth = 0.69 (league 1.11)

Portsmouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol City 0 8.8% 6.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.3% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.7% 5.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1