Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.37) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 23.9% 25.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaWest Brom
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack42%58%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea West Brom
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%25%33%50%25%38%
Draws25%17%21%33%0%17%
Loses33%58%46%17%75%46%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLW • West Brom: WWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWLLWLLW

League goals

Metric Swansea West Brom
HATHAT
GF total151025161228
GF avg1.30.81.01.31.01.2
GA total161531112132
GA avg1.31.31.30.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaWest Brom
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%75%79%
1.529%33%33%38%
2.50%17%8%17%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaWest Brom
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score156246

Penalties

MetricSwanseaWest Brom
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwanseaWest Brom
Wins22
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-23-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaWest Brom
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total49.3%50.7%

Advice: Double chance : Swansea or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 1.71 (league 1.37), West Brom = 1.15 (league 1.13)

West Brom
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 5.7% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.8% 11.3% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.6% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 25.6%

vtt 18 , vtd1