Championship
— England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 •
Vicarage Road
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.37)
0.62 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9% | 18.3% | 9.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.5%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Birmingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Watford | 0 | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 62% | 38% |
| Defense | 46% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 22 |
| Wins | 58% | 10% | 36% | 60% | 17% | 36% |
| Draws | 33% | 40% | 36% | 30% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 8% | 50% | 27% | 10% | 67% | 41% |
Form: Watford: LWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDW • Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 11 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 16 | 28 | 9 | 20 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Watford | Birmingham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 91% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 32% | 32% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 5% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Watford | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Watford or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Watford = 2.11 (league 1.37), Birmingham = 0.62 (league 1.12)
| Birmingham | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Watford | 0 | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.5% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 9.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1