Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • MKM Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.36) 1.20 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.4% 27.0% 34.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 8.2% 9.9% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHull CityStoke City
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack75%25%
Defense75%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hull City Stoke City
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%42%50%50%33%42%
Draws17%25%21%17%17%17%
Loses25%33%29%33%50%42%

Form: Hull City: DWLLDWLDWWWDWLWLLWLWWWDW • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLDL

League goals

Metric Hull City Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total192140181129
GF avg1.61.81.71.50.91.2
GA total181937101323
GA avg1.51.61.50.81.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHull CityStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%63%67%
1.558%54%29%21%
2.521%17%21%4%
3.50%8%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHull CityStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets336448
Failed to score213369

Penalties

MetricHull CityStoke City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricHull CityStoke City
Wins33
Draws13
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-10-3
Biggest losses1-44-21-24-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4424

Model comparison

MetricHull CityStoke City
Form76%24%
Att75%25%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Hull City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.20 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.83 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hull City = 1.29 (league 1.36), Stoke City = 1.20 (league 1.12)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hull City 0 8.2% 9.9% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.7% 12.8% 7.7% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.3% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 16 , Vtod11