Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 • St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.38) 1.78 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.1% 21.7% 36.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirminghamCoventry
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack30%40%
Defense10%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham Coventry
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins50%15%32%75%46%60%
Draws42%15%28%17%38%28%
Loses8%69%40%8%15%12%

Form: Birmingham: DWWLLWLDDLWLWWLWDWLLDLDDL • Coventry: DWWDDDWWWWWWLWWWWWLDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Birmingham Coventry
HATHAT
GF total24832272855
GF avg2.00.61.32.32.22.2
GA total11233491726
GA avg0.91.81.40.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirminghamCoventry
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%80%84%64%
1.528%36%56%28%
2.512%20%40%12%
3.512%0%20%0%
4.50%0%12%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirminghamCoventry
HATHAT
Clean sheets415549
Failed to score066224

Penalties

MetricBirminghamCoventry
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBirminghamCoventry
Wins26
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-27-10-5
Biggest losses2-33-00-23-0
Goals For4275
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricBirminghamCoventry
Form27%73%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Coventry

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham = 1.89 (league 1.38), Coventry = 1.78 (league 1.11)

Coventry
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham 0 2.6% 4.6% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4%
1 4.8% 8.6% 7.6% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.2% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 36.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1