Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • Kassam Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.38) 1.63 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.1% 24.7% 52.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 7.6% 12.3% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.8% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOxford UnitedBristol City
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack27%67%
Defense53%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oxford United Bristol City
HATHAT
Played121325141226
Wins25%15%20%43%42%42%
Draws33%23%28%21%25%23%
Loses42%62%52%36%33%35%

Form: Oxford United: LLLDDWLDLWLWDLLDDWLDLLWLL • Bristol City: WDDWWLDDLWWWLLDWLWLDLWWLWL

League goals

Metric Oxford United Bristol City
HATHAT
GF total131225231538
GF avg1.10.91.01.61.31.5
GA total171835151429
GA avg1.41.41.41.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOxford UnitedBristol City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%92%73%65%
1.532%40%35%31%
2.54%8%23%8%
3.50%0%12%4%
4.50%0%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOxford UnitedBristol City
HATHAT
Clean sheets112549
Failed to score459437

Penalties

MetricOxford UnitedBristol City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricOxford UnitedBristol City
Wins13
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-35-01-4
Biggest losses0-32-01-35-1
Goals For2354
Goals Against3335

Model comparison

MetricOxford UnitedBristol City
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals35%65%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bristol City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ 188Bet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oxford United = 0.96 (league 1.38), Bristol City = 1.63 (league 1.12)

Bristol City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oxford United 0 7.6% 12.3% 10.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.2% 11.8% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.6% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 52.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1