Championship
— England
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 12:30 •
Vicarage Road
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.39)
0.78 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.2% | 23.9% | 17.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Millwall | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Watford | 0 | 8.5% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.2% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 53% |
| Attack | 60% | 27% |
| Defense | 80% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Watford | Millwall | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 62% | 25% | 44% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
| Draws | 31% | 33% | 32% | 14% | 42% | 27% |
| Loses | 8% | 42% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
WatfordLWDDLLWDWLWLWDDWDLWDDWWWW
MillwallWLWLDWDLWWWWDLDLWWWDLLDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Watford | Millwall | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 17 | 29 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Watford | Millwall | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 73% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 28% | 31% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 4% | 8% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Watford | Millwall | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 54.7% | 45.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.18 @ SBO
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.84 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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