Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 20:00 • The Hawthorns
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.37) 1.02 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 29.4% 32.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
13.1%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Brom 0 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWest BromMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack29%29%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric West Brom Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins50%21%35%62%38%50%
Draws33%0%15%23%31%27%
Loses17%79%50%15%31%23%

Form: West Brom: WWDWLLDWLWLLDLWLDWLLWLLWLL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLW

League goals

Metric West Brom Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total161329201737
GF avg1.30.91.11.51.31.4
GA total112435111526
GA avg0.91.71.30.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWest BromMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%81%73%73%
1.531%38%46%15%
2.58%15%15%8%
3.50%0%8%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWest BromMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets325527
Failed to score257347

Penalties

MetricWest BromMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricWest BromMiddlesbrough
Wins24
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-02-43-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricWest BromMiddlesbrough
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%62%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): West Brom = 1.14 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 1.02 (league 1.14)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
West Brom 0 11.5% 11.7% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.4% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.5% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 32.2%

vtt 7 , vtd1