Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 • St. Mary's Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.38) 1.45 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 23.9% 34.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthamptonHull City
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack21%50%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southampton Hull City
HATHAT
Played121426131225
Wins42%21%31%54%42%48%
Draws42%29%35%15%25%20%
Loses17%50%35%31%33%32%

Form: Southampton: WDLDDLDWDDLLLWWWWLWWLDLDDL • Hull City: DWLLDWLDWWWDWLWLLWLWWWDWL

League goals

Metric Southampton Hull City
HATHAT
GF total172138192140
GF avg1.41.51.51.51.81.6
GA total112738191938
GA avg0.91.91.51.51.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthamptonHull City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%84%76%
1.538%42%56%52%
2.519%15%20%16%
3.54%4%0%8%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthamptonHull City
HATHAT
Clean sheets404336
Failed to score415314

Penalties

MetricSouthamptonHull City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSouthamptonHull City
Wins43
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-44-2
Goals For3533
Goals Against2444

Model comparison

MetricSouthamptonHull City
Form23%77%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total34.3%65.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hull City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Dafabet
Away4.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.32 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.30 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southampton = 1.62 (league 1.38), Hull City = 1.45 (league 1.11)

Hull City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southampton 0 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 7.5% 10.9% 7.9% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.1% 8.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.3% 4.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 34.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1