Tue, Jan 20 2026 • 19:45 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.37) 0.85 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 33.8% 32.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.8%
1 - 0
15.6%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 17.8% 15.2% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaBlackburn
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack57%29%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Blackburn
HATHAT
Played141327131326
Wins43%23%33%15%38%27%
Draws29%15%22%31%23%27%
Loses29%62%44%54%38%46%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLD • Blackburn: LLWLWLLDLLWWWLWLDDDLWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Swansea Blackburn
HATHAT
GF total171128131124
GF avg1.20.81.01.00.80.9
GA total171734201333
GA avg1.21.31.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaBlackburn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%65%73%
1.526%33%23%42%
2.50%15%4%12%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaBlackburn
HATHAT
Clean sheets437167
Failed to score156369

Penalties

MetricSwanseaBlackburn
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSwanseaBlackburn
Wins23
Draws13
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-33-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaBlackburn
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Swansea or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away3.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 0.87 (league 1.37), Blackburn = 0.85 (league 1.13)

Blackburn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 17.8% 15.2% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.8% 5.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 32.5%

vtt 6 , vtd4